I have a few thoughts on the one percent (1%) of the Milky Way stars that the Gaia satellite is going to survey and map. One percent does not appear much, but the expectations are high. This made me think and I recalled, as I do now, that election outcomes are often predicted on the basis of a few percent of the votes having been counted.
This in turn reminded me of Edward de Bono, the Maltese author of “Lateral Thinking”, who studied human decision making as that is based on pattern recognition. This is a human trait that even today at times outperforms certain computer programmes, such as those for planet detection.
But, I did not stop there and moved on to recall the activities of the ancient Babylonian astronomer priests, who tracked and observed the sun among other heavenly bodies. They announced the return of the sun, waiting for three days after it had reached its low point, the so called ’winter solstice‘. Three days, just to make sure it was not a fluke. This is analogues to the three days that the moon vanishes until its first rim appears again, as is still very much observed by the imams of Islam.
So, I then made a calculation, three days for the sun to be observed to rise again, or lower again at summer solstice. Three days after the lowest point out of three hundred and sixty five (365) is close to one percent (1%)! So, our modern scientists cum priests of knowledge, also go after this one percent, now knowingly that this will be sufficient to make many predictions about the structure, history and future of our Milk Way galaxy.
This in turn is analogous to the Ancient Mesopotamian priests predicting the coming year’s events based on the three mentioned days plus the other two making up the five odd ones that did not fit their three hundred and sixty (360) days if the twelve thirty day months.
These priests consulted for five days with their gods as to their will and intent for the population and than made their announcements. The data that Gaia gathers will keep our scientist today busy for several decades and in book form, fill a shelf 1.3 km in length.
How mature are we really, with our electronic media, social networks and stores full of superfluous consumer goods? That is my question for 2014!
I marvel at the similarity of our human behaviour and methods when making this comparison. Today we know more and are more aware of our methodology, but the pattern can still be recognised and is deployed as well, one percent to make prediction and then check them out.
If we would apply this pattern recognition to our social power plays in global politics we would spare humanity much harm. Are we willing to draw such conclusions and look for solutions using our own known patterns of behaviour?
This is similar to the observation in my diary section of today on human relationship, that we need dedication, skill and a willingness to work on sustaining the relationship, now on a global basis. We certainly know as much as one percent when we combine history, social sciences, sociology and psychology with political science.
But, are we willing to let go of our strategies for relative advantage and substitute that those in part with a strategy for shared planet wide benefit? How mature are we really, with our electronic media, social networks and stores full of superfluous consumer goods? That is my question for 2014!
Laundry load time at 9:58am and 10:22am back again.
Is it worth the effort? Combining the situation in Syria and the on going conflict in Palestine and we know that unresolved conflicts can brake down our human society. Such conflicts will start to take dominance over all other criteria and values, destroying all that was held in common until nothing is left to fight about. Then we become willing to talk, but look at the losses it took to get there.
If you look at the machinery we assemble to launch the Gaia satellite and the one billion dollars it took, then you know that our problems are not in that corner of society. Our serious problems are wedged, welded and riveted to our sense of identity and traditions. We know lots about that, but we must be willing to shift our values and change our perspectives, such as to put common solutions to common problems front and center on our global agenda. What or who are we waiting for?
<10:33am and after laundry and edit 11:28am~